A few months back, I had a client who commissioned a pre-election survey last November, way before the campaign period officially began. The results weren’t exactly confidence-boosting: he was trailing the incumbent by over 10 percentage points, with a ±5% margin of error. Fast forward to election day, and surprise! He won by 6%. Now … Continue reading Were the surveys wrong?
Tag: elections
Survival of the Richest: Why Elections Still Run on Cash, Not Credibility
Do you know that some voters in Legazpi City were able to receive P22,500 in the recently concluded elections? Not from a single candidate, of course, but from different candidates. Does this mean the Legazpenos are “bobotantes”? Or does this mean the voter’s education that both the Commission on Elections and development organizations have been … Continue reading Survival of the Richest: Why Elections Still Run on Cash, Not Credibility
The 2025 Albay Election Showdown: The Governor, the Congressman, and the Plot Twist
In Philippine politics, alliances are like pie crusts -- made to be broken (and, in most cases, eaten). This is also true in Albay-- alliances last only as long as they’re convenient. Back in 2022, Joey Salceda and Noel Rosal forged an alliance that toppled the multi-term-governor, Al Francis Bichara. Rosal ran for governor while … Continue reading The 2025 Albay Election Showdown: The Governor, the Congressman, and the Plot Twist
The Disqualification Dilemma: Will Albay Voters Stick with Rosal?
Last Thursday, Grex Lagman withdrew his candidacy for Albay Governor to give way to Noel Rosal. Lagman, elected as Vice Governor of Albay in the 2022 elections after the winner, Noel Rosal, was kicked out of the elective post by the Commission on Elections (Comelec) for violation of the Omnibus Election Code in relation to … Continue reading The Disqualification Dilemma: Will Albay Voters Stick with Rosal?
Daraga at an Electoral Crossroads: The Battle for Stability, Experience, and Controversy
The political atmosphere in Daraga, Albay, is heating up as the town looks toward the 2025 elections. Three names have emerged as frontrunners for the mayoral seat: Acting Mayor Jungie Jaucian, former Mayor Vic Perete, and Romella Baldo, wife of former Mayor Awin Baldo who is facing accusations of the murder of Ako Bicol Partylist … Continue reading Daraga at an Electoral Crossroads: The Battle for Stability, Experience, and Controversy
Gubernatorial contenders for Bicol
Letters are flooding my e-mail: Nata daa ta wara na ki bagong entry? It's been a while, indeed. Pero para makabawi, let's have a round up of the gubernatorial contenders for the 2010 elections as a starter. Albay Joey Salceda -- Lakas-KAMPI CMD Linda Montayre -- KKK Marcelino Cortes -- PGRP Expected winner si Salceda. … Continue reading Gubernatorial contenders for Bicol





