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Posts Tagged ‘Bicol’

One of the hotly commented posts in the YouTube is 1969 Ms. Universe  Gloria Diaz’s comment (link here or watch the post below) in relation to Venus Raj’s response on the Q & A portion of the 2010 Ms. Universe pageant. Diaz is proposing that maybe it is high time that we employ interpreters for our candidates in Ms. Universe pageants as there are persons who can hardly speak English so they should be allowed to answer in their native tongue.

Diaz’s proposal has a point. Dakul an nagsasabi na nagluluwas na patal si Venus Raj dahil dai niya na ngani nasimbag su hapot saiya, wrong grammar pa. Mas maraot pa kaiyan, dakul an nagsasabi na hambugon asin utikon si Raj dahil imposible na wara siyang nagibong sala digdi sa kinaban maging “minor, minor” mistake man iyan. Sabi ngani kan sarong international TV news anchor, warang tawo na daing nagibong sala.

But we cannot really say that Raj is stupid. Kung sasabihon ta iyan, dakul na man an madadamay lalo na an mga eskuwelahan na nagtao saiya ki dakulang honra, an mga pulitiko na nagtabang saiya para ma-retain an korona, asin an Bb. Pilipinas organizers na nagpadara saiya sa Ms. Universe bilang kandidata. It could be that she is also intelligent only that she can’t express herself in English.

Which brings us to the point: That there is nothing wrong speaking in the local tongue. Moreso, we should consider using the local tongue as the primary medium of instruction in our schools. Otherwise, totally abolish the local tongues and teach everyone English (or the language officially desired by the Philippines) from the very moment he/she is born. The rationale for this is clear: Not to crowd too much information on an individual but to help him or her develop his logic or information processing skills and communicate the same in a language he/she is comfortable with — basically, the mother tongue.

Earlier, Biklish noted that in Kalinga, the Municipality of Lubuagan tested the idea of teaching their students in the lingua franca. The result: “when students learn to read and write in their mother tongue before learning to read and write in a second or third language, they progress more quickly both in literacy skills and in second language acquisition.”

The Lubuagan experiment was also validated in Valenzuela City just lately when fourth graders, who were given a Math quiz in Filipino, scored higher marks compared with the sixth graders who took the same quiz in English (source here).  Hence, assuming that Venus Raj is intelligent, she could have fared better when she expressed herself in her lingua franca. At any rate, the use of interpreters is not prohibited. Miss Mexico, the crowned Miss Universe 2010, in fact, used an interpreter to answer a question that requires a bit of intellectual processing compared with Raj’s question which is very personal and only requires some sort of a “memory recall”.

Gloria Diaz’s interview

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In the early part of 2008, I wrote a paper for the Institute for Popular Democracy (which I also presented in the PPSA) on the decline of the Imperials of Albay Province. The paper concludes that if the clan will not reinvent itself and if the members of the clan’s later generation will not step their foot in politics, the clan will eventually lost its hold on local power.

Cong. Carlos "Papay" Imperial

Indeed, on April 11 this year, the clan’s political patriarch died and it signaled the death of the clan in local politics. He is Carlos “Papay” Imperial, the son of Domingo. Papay served as the Congressman of the Second District of Albay from 1965-1972; an Assemblyman from 1978-1984; and a Congressman again from 1987-2004.  His wife, Norma, substituted for him to fill-in his term limits from 1998-2001.

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The recently concluded elections brought a double whammy to the Alfelor Clan, one of the major political forces in Camarines Sur. Felix “Nancing” Alfelor, Jr., lost his bid for provincial governor while his brother, and Emmanuel “Manny” Alfelor Sr., failed to catch the congressional seat by a very narrow margin. Hence the question: Where did the clan go wrong?

When Luis Villafuerte bolted from Palaka (Partido Lakas-Kampi) last year, a single whammy for the Alfelors was already written, at the least, on the sand. It should be noted that in 2007, the political stalwarts of the province — Alfelor, Andaya, and Villafuerte — formed a grand alliance similar to the “Alyansa kan Apat na Aguila” during the Marcos period. The 2007 alliance was intended to catapult the candidacy of Datu Arroyo and at the same time minimize election costs by not engaging in a political derby. The alliance was expected to go beyond the midterm elections that in 2008, political arrangements were already ironed out. However, when the Villafuertes expressed intent to join the Nationalist People’s Coalition and Partido Nacionalista of Villar, the well pressed political cloth got torned. Logically, this means the Villafuertes will be banging their heads against their former allies. And they did.

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If there is a best word to describe the way politics and elections is handled in the Philippines, it would be “tantiya”. The reasons include the facts that Filipino politics is personality-based, and statistics seem to be an alien subject even among political analysts. This is undeniable because even the Commission on Elections, the supposedly repository of electoral data, would dispose of the hardcopies of documents such as the election results every after five years. Hence, a student of politics will find it hard to lower his/her analysis down to at least the city or municipal level.

Another reason is that the Philippines lack published election studies and literature. Hence, researchers always have to start from scratch and “re-invent the wheel” unlike in “politically mature” countries where students and contemporary researchers have a prior study or studies to build on their assumptions and hypotheses.

To avoid the agony being experienced by the contemporary researchers, I am posting herein an article I wrote for select audience mainly from my former institute, the Institute for Popular Democracy, and campaign strategists of a national political party. The article was written last September 2009 and, hopefully, will be of use to those interested in understanding Bicolano politics.


WILL NOYNOY BAG THE BICOL VOTE?1

Prepared By: Jay A. Carizo
Institute for Popular Democracy

If the presidential elections will be held today, Noynoy Aquino might score in a far second battling neck to neck with Senator Manny Villar in the Bicol Region. The reasons: (1) The Chiz Escudero factor, (2) the influence of the Leftist ideologies and the Hacienda Luisita issue, and (3) the failure of the LP to maintain its relations with the vote gatekeepers in Region V. This, despite the Cory Magic, which is expected to boost Noynoy’s presidential bid.

Even then, there are openings that Noynoy can use and maximize: The changing behavior of the politicians in the region and the changing vote intentions of the Bicolanos. These openings are what Presidential son, Datu Arroyo used to win the Congressional elections in Camarines Sur despite the claims that Bicolano vote is an opposition vote and that Bicolanos only support Bicolano candidates.

Describing the Bicol Vote

The Bicol Region is composed of six provinces namely: Albay, Camarines Norte, Camarines Sur, Catanduanes, Masbate and Sorsogon. For 2009, it has 2.8 million registered voters more than half of which are from Albay (24.47%) and Camarines Sur (32.22%).

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Except for Camarines Norte where results are still unavailable, Bicol has two new governors — Rizalina Seachon Lanete of Masbate, and Raul Lee of Sorsogon. Albay’s Joey Salceda, Camarines Sur’s L-Ray Villafuerte, and Catanduanes’s Joseph Cua were all re-elected.

In general, our forecasts were true. We only failed in Masbate where Lanete won over the incumbent, Olga Kho. One reason is that we failed to factor in the peace compact which restricted the forces supporting the Khos to exert pressure on the voters and the election tellers.

Below are the results based on the Comelec as of May 19, 2010.

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